Where the market is wrong on Aldosivi v Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi meet Independ. Rivadavia in the Copa Argentina round of 16 at Estadio Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires.
Independ. Rivadavia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1400. Recent form leans Independ. Rivadavia, 68% against 23%. Attacking output favors Independ. Rivadavia on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.6 per match.
Aldosivi arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Argentinos JRS, L 0-2 v Independ. Rivadavia, L 1-3 v Union Santa Fe, D 0-0 v Tigre.
Independ. Rivadavia are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Racing Club, W 2-0 @ Aldosivi, D 0-0 @ Independiente, D 1-1 v Fluminense.
Independ. Rivadavia hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Aldosivi 0-2 Independ. Rivadavia.
The market prices ALD at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on Independ. Rivadavia: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
