Where the market is wrong on Hyde United v Bury
Hyde United meet Bury in the Non League Premier - Northern regular season - 8.
Bury rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1477. Recent form leans Bury, 75% against 45%. Attacking output favors Bury on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans Bury at 73%; double chance reads Hyde United or draw 47%, Bury or draw 80%.
Hyde United arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 4-4 @ Bamber Bridge, L 0-4 @ Alfreton Town, L 0-1 v Avro, W 1-0 v United of Manchester.
Bury are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 v Ilkeston Town, L 0-1 v Lancaster City, W 1-0 @ Gainsborough Trinity, L 2-3 @ Guiseley AFC.
The market prices HYD at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Bury: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
