Csepel v ESMTK: the model read
Csepel meet ESMTK in the NB III - Southeast southeast - 2. The model makes ESMTK the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 25% CSE, 26% draw, 49% ESM.
ESMTK rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1581. Recent form leans ESMTK, 78% against 60%. Attacking output favors ESMTK on expected goals, 2.7 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans ESMTK at 67%; double chance reads Csepel or draw 51%, ESMTK or draw 75%.
Csepel arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ III. Kerületi TUE, D 0-0 @ Kaposvar, W 3-1 @ Honvéd II, L 1-4 v Gyulai Termál.
ESMTK are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 18 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Monori Se, W 8-0 v Tiszaföldvár, L 1-3 @ III. Kerületi TUE, W 4-0 v Hódmezővásárhely.
Csepel hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: ESMTK 1-2 Csepel.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
