Where the market is wrong on Peterhead v Elgin City
Peterhead meet Elgin City in the Challenge Cup group stage - 5 at Balmoor, Peterhead.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 53%. Attacking output favors Elgin City on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.4 per match.
Peterhead arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Elgin City, W 2-0 @ Forfar Athletic, L 1-2 v Airdrie United, L 1-3 @ East Kilbride.
Elgin City are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Peterhead, W 3-0 v Dundee II, L 1-5 v Stranraer, L 0-2 @ Annan Athletic.
Elgin City hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Peterhead 0-1 Elgin City.
The market prices PET at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Elgin City: a 9.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
