Hamilton Academical v Edinburgh City: the model read
Hamilton Academical meet Edinburgh City in the Challenge Cup group stage - 2 at ZLX Stadium, Hamilton.
The baseline ratings are close, 1613 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Hamilton Academical, 66% against 50%. Attacking output favors Hamilton Academical on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans Hamilton Academical at 70%; double chance reads Hamilton Academical or draw 78%, Edinburgh City or draw 48%.
Hamilton Academical arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Edinburgh City, D 0-0 @ East Fife, W 4-0 v Airdrie United, L 1-3 v Celtic II.
Edinburgh City are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Hamilton Academical, W 1-0 v Annan Athletic, W 3-0 @ Dumbarton, W 3-1 v Cowdenbeath.
Hamilton Academical hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hamilton Academical 0-1 Edinburgh City.
The market prices HAM at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Edinburgh City: a 2.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
