CAP v Democrata SL: the model read
CAP meet Democrata SL in the Mineiro - 2 quarter-finals at Estadio Pedro Nascimento Alves, Patrocinio. The model makes Democrata SL the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 25% CAP, 33% draw, 42% DEM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Democrata SL, 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors Democrata SL on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 27%, over 2.5 goals around 25%. Draw no bet leans Democrata SL at 62%; double chance reads CAP or draw 58%, Democrata SL or draw 75%.
CAP arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Democrata SL, L 1-4 v Democrata SL, L 0-1 @ Mamoré, L 0-1 v Guarani MG.
Democrata SL are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v CAP, W 4-1 @ CAP, D 2-2 @ Aymorés, W 5-0 v Ipatinga.
Democrata SL hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Democrata SL 2-1 CAP.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
