Where the market is wrong on Walton & Hersham v Farnborough
Walton & Hersham meet Farnborough in the National League - South national league south - 10 at Elmbridge Xcel Sports Hub, Surrey.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Farnborough, 50% against 20%. Attacking output favors Farnborough on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.9 per match.
Walton & Hersham arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Farnborough, L 0-3 v Horsham, D 1-1 @ Truro City, L 0-2 v Ebbsfleet United.
Farnborough are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Walton & Hersham, L 0-2 v Uxbridge, D 2-2 @ Uxbridge, L 0-1 v Dover.
Walton & Hersham hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Walton & Hersham 2-2 Farnborough.
The market prices WAL at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
