Aveley v Tilbury: the model read
Aveley meet Tilbury in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Aveley the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% AVE, 28% draw, 36% TIL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 57%. Attacking output favors Aveley on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans Aveley at 50%; double chance reads Aveley or draw 64%, Tilbury or draw 64%.
Aveley arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 15 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Canvey Island, W 5-1 @ Brightlingsea Regent, W 3-2 v Braintree, L 1-4 v Ebbsfleet United.
Tilbury are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Witham Town, L 0-2 @ Stanway Rovers, L 0-3 @ Gorleston, W 1-0 v Grays Athletic.
Aveley hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Aveley 3-2 Tilbury.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
