Chaves v Chaves II: the model read
Chaves meet Chaves II in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Chaves II the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 34% CHA, 31% draw, 35% CHA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 43%. Attacking output favors Chaves on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Chaves II at 51%; double chance reads Chaves or draw 65%, Chaves II or draw 66%.
Chaves arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Guimaraes B, W 2-1 v Amarante, L 0-1 @ Vizela, W 4-1 v Fafe.
Chaves II are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Chaves, D 1-1 @ Tirsense, D 1-1 v Bragança, W 3-0 v Os Limianos.
Chaves hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chaves 1-0 Chaves II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
