Where the market is wrong on Fenerbahçe v Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe meet Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig regular season - 4 at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul.
The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fenerbahçe, 75% against 60%. Attacking output favors Fenerbahçe on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.4 per match.
Fenerbahçe arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Samsunspor, W 2-1 @ Lyon, W 4-2 v Konyaspor, D 1-1 v Lyon.
Beşiktaş are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 6-2 v Çorum FK, L 0-1 @ Kauno Žalgiris, L 0-1 @ Alanyaspor, W 3-0 v Kauno Žalgiris.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fenerbahçe 1-0 Beşiktaş.
The market prices FEN at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Beşiktaş: a 6.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
