Fencibles United v Auckland City: the model read
Fencibles United meet Auckland City in the Chatham Cup quarter-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Auckland City, 73% against 57%. Attacking output favors Fencibles United on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.
Fencibles United arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Cashmere Technical, W 3-0 v Nelson Suburbs, W 3-2 v Auckland City, W 3-0 v South Auckland Rangers.
Auckland City are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Central Coast, W 3-1 v Rewa, W 4-3 v Vénus, W 1-0 @ Tiga Sport.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fencibles United 3-2 Auckland City.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
