Where the market is wrong on Pyunik Yerevan v Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan meet Ararat-Armenia in the Premier League regular season - 5 at Junior Sport Stadium, Yerevan.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 65%. Attacking output favors Ararat-Armenia on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.
Pyunik Yerevan arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Ararat-Armenia, W 2-0 @ Ararat, W 3-0 v Van, D 2-2 @ FC Urartu.
Ararat-Armenia are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Pyunik Yerevan, W 1-0 v Universitatea Craiova, D 1-1 v Sardarapat, D 1-1 @ Universitatea Craiova.
Ararat-Armenia hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 4 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pyunik Yerevan 2-1 Ararat-Armenia.
The market prices PYU at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
