Durango v Cruz Azul Hidalgo: the model read
Durango meet Cruz Azul Hidalgo in the Liga de Expansión MX apertura - 9 at Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango. The model makes Durango the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% DUR, 33% draw, 27% CRU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1696 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Durango, 78% against 68%. Attacking output favors Durango on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Durango at 60%; double chance reads Durango or draw 73%, Cruz Azul Hidalgo or draw 59%.
Durango arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Tepatitlán, D 0-0 v Deportiva Venados, L 1-2 @ Deportiva Venados, W 2-1 v Deportivo Zap.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Irapuato, L 0-2 @ Irapuato, D 1-1 v Durango, D 1-1 @ Durango.
Their last 2 meetings are tight — 2 drawn. Most recently they met in 2021: Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1-1 Durango.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output