Gretna 2008 v Newton Stewart: the model read
Gretna 2008 meet Newton Stewart in the Football League - Lowland League regular season. The model makes Gretna 2008 the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% GRE, 28% draw, 26% NEW.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gretna 2008, 30% against 17%. Attacking output favors Gretna 2008 on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans Gretna 2008 at 64%; double chance reads Gretna 2008 or draw 74%, Newton Stewart or draw 54%.
Gretna 2008 arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 6 scored and 22 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Caledonian Braves, L 2-4 v Annan Athletic, L 0-5 v Queen's Park, L 0-3 @ Gala Fairydean Rovers.
Newton Stewart are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Clydebank, L 1-3 @ Glasgow University, L 0-3 @ Jeanfield Swifts, L 1-4 v Luncarty.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
