Where the market is wrong on Spartak Kostroma v Rotor Volgograd
Spartak Kostroma meet Rotor Volgograd in the First League regular season - 9 at Stadion Urozhay, Karavaevo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1496, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 47%. Attacking output favors Rotor Volgograd on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Spartak Kostroma arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Rotor Volgograd, L 0-3 @ Torpedo Moskva, D 1-1 v FC UFA, W 3-1 @ Ska-khabarovsk.
Rotor Volgograd are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Spartak Kostroma, L 0-1 v FK Neftekhimik, L 1-2 @ Arsenal Tula, D 1-1 v Ural.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Spartak Kostroma 1-0 Rotor Volgograd.
The market prices SPA at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Rotor Volgograd: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
