FK Neftekhimik v Tekstilshchik

FK Neftekhimik meet Tekstilshchik in the First League regular season - 4 at Neftekhimik Stadium, Nizhnekamsk. The model makes Tekstilshchik the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 32% FK , 31% draw, 36% TEK.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors Tekstilshchik on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 40%. Draw no bet leans Tekstilshchik at 53%; double chance reads FK Neftekhimik or draw 64%, Tekstilshchik or draw 68%.

FK Neftekhimik arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Volga Ulyanovsk, W 1-0 @ Arsenal Tula, L 0-1 v Veles, D 3-3 v KAMAZ.

Tekstilshchik are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Spartak Kostroma, D 2-2 v FC UFA, L 1-2 @ Arsenal Tula, L 1-6 @ Nizhny Novgorod.

FK Neftekhimik hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FK Neftekhimik 1-1 Tekstilshchik.

The market prices FK at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Tekstilshchik: a 12.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.