Where the market is wrong on Lanús Res. v Huracán Res.
Lanús Res. meet Huracán Res. in the Reserve League clausura - 2. The model makes Lanús Res. the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% LAN, 30% draw, 33% HUR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lanús Res., 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Lanús Res. on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Lanús Res. at 53%; double chance reads Lanús Res. or draw 67%, Huracán Res. or draw 63%.
Lanús Res. arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Huracán Res., L 1-2 @ Ferro 2, L 1-3 @ River Plate Res., W 1-0 @ Boca Juniors Res..
Huracán Res. are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Lanús Res., D 1-1 v Newell's Old Boys Res., D 1-1 v Defensa y Justicia Res., L 0-1 @ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2.
Lanús Res. hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lanús Res. 1-0 Huracán Res..
The market prices LAN at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Huracán Res.: a 9.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
