Where the market is wrong on Energie Cottbus v FC St. Pauli
Energie Cottbus meet FC St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga regular season - 6 at Stadion der Freundschaft, Cottbus.
The baseline ratings are close, 1516 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 43%. Attacking output favors Energie Cottbus on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Energie Cottbus arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 11 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v FC St. Pauli, W 3-0 @ Karlsruher SC, D 4-4 @ VfL Wolfsburg, L 3-4 v SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
FC St. Pauli are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Energie Cottbus, W 1-0 v VfL Wolfsburg, D 2-2 @ Arminia Bielefeld, L 1-2 v 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
FC St. Pauli hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Energie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli.
The market prices ENE at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on Energie Cottbus: a 7.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 70 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
