Where the market is wrong on 1. FC Heidenheim v Dynamo Dresden
1. FC Heidenheim meet Dynamo Dresden in the 2. Bundesliga regular season - 3 at Voith-Arena, Heidenheim.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dynamo Dresden, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Dynamo Dresden on expected goals, 2.9 to 2.4 per match.
1. FC Heidenheim arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 14 scored and 19 conceded. Recent results: W 5-3 v Dynamo Dresden, L 2-5 @ SSV Jeddeloh, L 2-4 v Bayern München, L 1-4 @ Hertha BSC.
Dynamo Dresden are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 @ 1. FC Heidenheim, W 6-0 @ Westfalia Rhynern, W 1-0 v SV Darmstadt 98, L 0-3 @ 1. FC Nürnberg.
1. FC Heidenheim hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: 1. FC Heidenheim 5-3 Dynamo Dresden.
The market prices 1. at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Dynamo Dresden: a 14.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
