Where the market is wrong on VfB Stuttgart v 1. FC Köln
VfB Stuttgart meet 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga regular season - 2 at MHPArena, Stuttgart.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans VfB Stuttgart, 60% against 48%. Attacking output favors VfB Stuttgart on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.9 per match.
VfB Stuttgart arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Bayern München, W 4-0 @ Hansa Rostock, L 0-1 @ Fulham, W 3-1 v Everton.
1. FC Köln are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v 1899 Hoffenheim, W 2-1 @ Würzburger Kickers, W 2-1 v Real Sociedad, D 2-2 v Hertha BSC.
VfB Stuttgart hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: VfB Stuttgart 3-1 1. FC Köln.
The market prices VFB at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on 1. FC Köln: a 10.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
