SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen: the model read
SC Freiburg meet Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga regular season - 1 at Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg. The model makes SC Freiburg the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% SC , 29% draw, 32% WER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans SC Freiburg, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors SC Freiburg on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans SC Freiburg at 55%; double chance reads SC Freiburg or draw 68%, Werder Bremen or draw 61%.
SC Freiburg arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Aston Villa, W 4-1 v RB Leipzig, L 2-3 @ Hamburger SV, W 3-1 v SC Braga.
Werder Bremen are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Fagiano Okayama, W 6-2 @ Verden 04, L 0-2 v Borussia Dortmund, L 0-1 @ 1899 Hoffenheim.
SC Freiburg hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: SC Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
