Where the market is wrong on Kitzbühel v Lauterach
Kitzbühel meet Lauterach in the Regionalliga - West west - 4.
Kitzbühel rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1400. Recent form leans Kitzbühel, 73% against 20%. Attacking output favors Kitzbühel on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans Kitzbühel at 74%; double chance reads Kitzbühel or draw 80%, Lauterach or draw 44%.
Kitzbühel arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v Lauterach, W 4-0 v Röthis, L 0-2 v Fügen, W 2-0 v Lustenau.
Lauterach are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 8 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Kitzbühel, D 3-3 v Schwaz, L 0-1 v Imst, L 2-3 @ Röthis.
Kitzbühel hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kitzbühel 4-2 Lauterach.
The market prices KIT at 68% implied. Our number sits apart on Lauterach: a 6.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
