Real Valladolid II v Navalcarnero: the model read
Real Valladolid II meet Navalcarnero in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 group 5 - 1. The model makes Real Valladolid II the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% REA, 29% draw, 31% NAV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Real Valladolid II, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors Real Valladolid II on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Real Valladolid II at 57%; double chance reads Real Valladolid II or draw 69%, Navalcarnero or draw 60%.
Real Valladolid II arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Burgos Promesas, W 1-0 @ Deportivo La Coruña II, W 3-0 v Langreo, W 3-2 @ Lealtad.
Navalcarnero are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Fuenlabrada, D 0-0 @ Colonia Moscardó, W 2-0 v Conquense, L 1-2 @ CD Coria.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
