Where the market is wrong on La Nucía v Mallorca II
La Nucía meet Mallorca II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 group 3 - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 75% against 70%. Attacking output favors Mallorca II on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.5 per match.
La Nucía arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Mallorca II, W 1-0 @ Yeclano, W 5-1 v Real Murcia II, W 1-0 v Poblense.
Mallorca II are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ La Nucía, W 1-0 @ Real Murcia II, D 0-0 v Deportiva Minera, D 1-1 @ Valencia II.
The market prices LA at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Mallorca II: a 16.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
