Where the market is wrong on Arnedo v Terrassa
Arnedo meet Terrassa in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 group 2 - 3.
Arnedo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1523. Recent form leans Arnedo, 75% against 53%. Attacking output favors Arnedo on expected goals, 2.1 to 0.8 per match.
Arnedo arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Terrassa, L 1-4 @ Osasuna II, L 1-4 v Manresa, W 1-0 v Tropezón.
Terrassa are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Ebro, W 1-0 @ Arnedo, W 4-0 v Binéfar, D 0-0 v Barbastro.
Terrassa hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Arnedo 0-1 Terrassa.
The market prices ARN at 21% implied. Our number sits apart on Arnedo: a 25.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
