Where the market is wrong on Osasuna v Getafe
Osasuna meet Getafe in the La Liga regular season - 3 at Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 48%. Attacking output favors Osasuna on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.
Osasuna arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Getafe, W 2-1 @ Celta Vigo, D 0-0 v Levante, L 0-2 v Al Ain.
Getafe are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Osasuna, L 1-2 @ FK Partizan, W 1-0 v Racing Santander, W 3-1 v FK Partizan.
The market prices OSA at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Getafe: a 8.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
