Sabadell v Almeria: the model read
Sabadell meet Almeria in the Segunda División regular season - 3 at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell.
The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 53%. Attacking output favors Almeria on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Sabadell arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Almeria, D 0-0 @ Castellón, D 0-0 @ Sporting Gijon, W 3-0 @ Olot.
Almeria are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Sabadell, L 0-1 @ Tenerife, W 3-0 v Eldense, W 4-0 @ Cordoba.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sabadell 1-0 Almeria.
The market prices SAB at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
