Where the market is wrong on Weszlo v Jagiellonia II
Weszlo meet Jagiellonia II in the III Liga - Group 1 group i - 5.
Weszlo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1803 to 1592. Recent form leans Weszlo, 92% against 63%. Attacking output favors Weszlo on expected goals, 2.7 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 80%. Draw no bet leans Weszlo at 73%; double chance reads Weszlo or draw 79%, Jagiellonia II or draw 45%.
Weszlo arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 14 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Jagiellonia II, W 2-0 @ ŁKS Łódź II, W 5-1 v Mławianka Mława, W 1-0 @ Łomża.
Jagiellonia II are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Weszlo, W 3-0 v Pelikan Łowicz, D 2-2 @ Warta Sieradz, D 1-1 v Wigry Suwałki.
The market prices WES at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Weszlo: a 8.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output