Swansea v Birmingham: the model read
Swansea meet Birmingham in the League Cup round of 128 at Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 63%. Attacking output favors Birmingham on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Swansea arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Watford, W 3-0 @ Derby, D 0-0 v Sheffield Utd, W 2-1 @ Stoke City.
Birmingham are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Southampton, W 2-1 @ Wrexham, L 1-6 v Brentford, D 2-2 v Bristol City.
Birmingham hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Swansea 0-1 Birmingham.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
