Where the market is wrong on Oxford United v Cambridge United
Oxford United meet Cambridge United in the League One regular season - 7 at Kassam Stadium, Oxford.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1601, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cambridge United, 66% against 57%. Attacking output favors Oxford United on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Oxford United arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Cambridge United, W 3-0 v Burton Albion, W 4-0 @ Leicester, L 1-3 @ Huddersfield.
Cambridge United are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Gillingham, D 1-1 @ Oxford United, W 2-1 v Reading, D 2-2 @ Burton Albion.
Oxford United hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Oxford United 1-1 Cambridge United.
The market prices OXF at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Cambridge United: a 8.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
