Where the market is wrong on Luton v Bradford
Luton meet Bradford in the League One regular season - 7 at Kenilworth Road, Luton.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 70%. Attacking output favors Luton on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.6 per match.
Luton arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 6-0 v Ipswich Town U21, L 0-1 v Bradford, L 1-2 @ Stevenage, D 1-1 v Leyton Orient.
Bradford are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Newcastle United U21, W 1-0 @ Luton, W 1-0 @ Notts County, W 3-1 @ Leyton Orient.
Luton hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Luton 0-1 Bradford.
The market prices LUT at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Bradford: a 9.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 75 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
