Where the market is wrong on Grimsby v Crawley Town
Grimsby meet Crawley Town in the League Two regular season - 7 at Blundell Park, Grimsby.
Grimsby rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Grimsby, 63% against 32%. Attacking output favors Grimsby on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.
Grimsby arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Notts County, W 2-0 v Crawley Town, W 2-0 v Bristol Rovers, D 2-2 @ Cheltenham.
Crawley Town are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Milton Keynes Dons, L 0-2 @ Grimsby, L 1-3 v Cheltenham, L 2-3 @ Accrington ST.
Grimsby hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Grimsby 2-0 Crawley Town.
The market prices GRI at 67% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 9.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
