Where the market is wrong on Krylia Sovetov v Rodina Moskva
Krylia Sovetov meet Rodina Moskva in the Premier League regular season - 8 at Samara Arena, Samara.
The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 43%. Attacking output favors Rodina Moskva on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Krylia Sovetov arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Rodina Moskva, D 2-2 v FC Krasnodar, D 0-0 @ Baltika, D 3-3 @ Akhmat.
Rodina Moskva are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Krylia Sovetov, L 0-2 @ Dinamo Makhachkala, L 1-3 @ Spartak Moscow, L 0-3 v Baltika.
Krylia Sovetov hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Krylia Sovetov 2-1 Rodina Moskva.
The market prices KRY at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Rodina Moskva: a 10.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
