Miramar v Atenas: the model read
Miramar meet Atenas in the Segunda División 2nd phase - 9 at Parque Palermo, Montevideo. The model makes Atenas the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 32% MIR, 32% draw, 36% ATE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 48%. Attacking output favors Atenas on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Atenas at 53%; double chance reads Miramar or draw 64%, Atenas or draw 68%.
Miramar arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Cerrito, D 1-1 v Atenas, W 3-1 @ Island Bay, W 3-2 @ Paysandu.
Atenas are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Rentistas, D 1-1 @ Miramar, W 2-0 v Tacuarembo, W 2-1 @ Plaza Colonia.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Miramar 1-1 Atenas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
