Where the market is wrong on Hradec Králové v Sparta Praha
Hradec Králové meet Sparta Praha in the Czech Liga regular season - 7 at FINEP Arena, Hradec Kralove.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1586, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 58%. Attacking output favors Sparta Praha on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Hradec Králové arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Slovan Liberec, L 1-2 v Panathinaikos, D 2-2 @ Panathinaikos, L 0-1 @ Beşiktaş.
Sparta Praha are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Slavia Praha, W 4-0 @ Artis, W 4-1 v Teplice, L 0-3 @ Lyon.
Sparta Praha hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sparta Praha 2-1 Hradec Králové.
The market prices HRA at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on Hradec Králové: a 6.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
