Where the market is wrong on Radomlje v Bravo
Radomlje meet Bravo in the 1. SNL regular season - 3. The model makes Bravo the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 23% RAD, 27% draw, 50% BRA.
Bravo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1400. Recent form leans Bravo, 69% against 32%. Attacking output favors Bravo on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans Bravo at 68%; double chance reads Radomlje or draw 50%, Bravo or draw 77%.
Radomlje arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Koper, L 0-2 v Brinje-Grosuplje, L 0-1 v NK Varazdin, L 0-2 v HNK Rijeka.
Bravo are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Nafta, W 2-1 v Shkendija, W 2-0 @ Olimpija Ljubljana, L 0-1 v Karpaty.
Bravo hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bravo 2-1 Radomlje.
The market prices RAD at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Bravo: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 66 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
