Where the market is wrong on DC Power W v Tampa Bay Sun W
DC Power W meet Tampa Bay Sun W in the USL Super League group stage at Audi Field, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans DC Power W, 48% against 38%. Attacking output favors DC Power W on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
DC Power W arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Dallas Trinity W, D 1-1 v Sporting JAX W, W 2-1 @ Lexington W, W 4-1 @ Brooklyn W.
Tampa Bay Sun W are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Fort Lauderdale United W, W 2-1 @ Carolina Ascent W, L 2-3 @ Sporting JAX W, D 1-1 @ Dallas Trinity W.
Tampa Bay Sun W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tampa Bay Sun W 0-2 DC Power W.
The market prices DC at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
