Where the market is wrong on Avispa Fukuoka v Mito Hollyhock
Avispa Fukuoka meet Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League regular season - 6 at Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Avispa Fukuoka, 45% against 33%. Attacking output favors Avispa Fukuoka on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Avispa Fukuoka arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Mito Hollyhock, L 2-3 v Urawa, L 1-2 @ Kyoto Sanga, D 0-0 v Verspah Oita.
Mito Hollyhock are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Avispa Fukuoka, W 4-2 v Kashima, D 1-1 v Machida Zelvia, L 0-2 v Kyoto Sangyo University.
Avispa Fukuoka hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Mito Hollyhock.
The market prices AVI at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Mito Hollyhock: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
