Ehime FC v Kitakyushu: the model read
Ehime FC meet Kitakyushu in the J3 League regular season - 5 at Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama. The model makes Ehime FC the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% EHI, 31% draw, 27% KIT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ehime FC, 48% against 33%. Attacking output favors Ehime FC on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Ehime FC at 62%; double chance reads Ehime FC or draw 73%, Kitakyushu or draw 57%.
Ehime FC arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Fujieda MYFC, L 0-1 v Roasso Kumamoto, L 1-2 @ Albirex Niigata, W 1-0 @ Kochi United.
Kitakyushu are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 7 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Yokohama FC, W 2-1 @ Avispa Fukuoka, L 1-2 @ Tochigi SC, L 1-3 @ Kamatamare Sanuki.
Ehime FC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Ehime FC 1-0 Kitakyushu.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
