Parceiro Nagano v Thespakusatsu Gunma: the model read
Parceiro Nagano meet Thespakusatsu Gunma in the J3 League regular season - 4 at Nagano U Stadium, Nagano.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 40%. Attacking output favors Thespakusatsu Gunma on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Parceiro Nagano arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Sagamihara, L 1-2 v Thespakusatsu Gunma, L 0-6 @ FC Tokyo, W 1-0 @ Roasso Kumamoto.
Thespakusatsu Gunma are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Fukushima United, L 1-2 v Albirex Niigata, W 2-1 @ Parceiro Nagano, L 1-4 @ Tokyo Verdy.
Thespakusatsu Gunma hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Parceiro Nagano 1-2 Thespakusatsu Gunma.
The market prices PAR at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
