Where the market is wrong on Nara Club v Renofa Yamaguchi
Nara Club meet Renofa Yamaguchi in the J3 League regular season - 3 at Konoike Athletic Stadium, Nara.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 50%. Attacking output favors Nara Club on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 72%. Draw no bet leans Renofa Yamaguchi at 53%; double chance reads Nara Club or draw 62%, Renofa Yamaguchi or draw 67%.
Nara Club arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Renofa Yamaguchi, L 1-4 v Osaka, L 1-3 v Kagoshima United, L 1-4 @ Ehime FC.
Renofa Yamaguchi are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Nara Club, L 1-2 @ Kagoshima United, W 1-0 v FC Ryukyu, L 0-1 @ Parceiro Nagano.
The market prices NAR at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Nara Club: a 6.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
