Where the market is wrong on Beitar Jerusalem v Maccabi Petah Tikva
Beitar Jerusalem meet Maccabi Petah Tikva in the Ligat Ha'al regular season - 4 at Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Beitar Jerusalem, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Beitar Jerusalem on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Beitar Jerusalem arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Maccabi Petah Tikva, W 1-0 @ Bnei Sakhnin, L 0-3 @ Hapoel Tel Aviv, L 1-4 v Maccabi Netanya.
Maccabi Petah Tikva are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Beitar Jerusalem, L 1-2 v Ironi Tiberias, W 2-1 @ Bnei Sakhnin, W 2-1 v Ironi Kiryat Shmona.
Beitar Jerusalem hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Beitar Jerusalem 3-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva.
The market prices BEI at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on Maccabi Petah Tikva: a 16.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
