Where the market is wrong on Radnicki NIS v Cukaricki
Radnicki NIS meet Cukaricki in the Super Liga regular season - 2. The model makes Cukaricki the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 31% RAD, 32% draw, 37% CUK.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Radnicki NIS on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Cukaricki at 54%; double chance reads Radnicki NIS or draw 63%, Cukaricki or draw 69%.
Radnicki NIS arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Cukaricki, L 1-2 @ Železničar Pančevo, L 0-3 v Neftchi Baku, W 2-0 v Příbram.
Cukaricki are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Radnicki NIS, L 0-1 v IMT Novi Beograd, D 1-1 @ Celje, W 4-3 @ Rudes.
Cukaricki hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Radnicki NIS 0-2 Cukaricki.
The market prices RAD at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Cukaricki: a 7.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 70 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
