Cuarte v Badajoz: the model read
Cuarte meet Badajoz in the Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs promotion play-offs - 1. The model makes Badajoz the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 28% CUA, 33% draw, 40% BAD.
Badajoz rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1730 to 1604. Recent form leans Badajoz, 80% against 68%. Attacking output favors Badajoz on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Badajoz at 59%; double chance reads Cuarte or draw 60%, Badajoz or draw 72%.
Cuarte arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Badajoz, L 1-2 @ Badajoz, L 0-1 v Atlético Monzón, W 2-0 @ Atlético Monzón.
Badajoz are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Cuarte, W 2-1 v Cuarte, D 0-0 v Moralo, W 2-0 @ Moralo.
Badajoz hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cuarte 1-1 Badajoz.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
