Where the market is wrong on Cracovia Krakow v Wieczysta Kraków
Cracovia Krakow meet Wieczysta Kraków in the Ekstraklasa regular season - 5 at Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego, Kraków.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 55%. Attacking output favors Wieczysta Kraków on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Wieczysta Kraków at 57%; double chance reads Cracovia Krakow or draw 60%, Wieczysta Kraków or draw 70%.
Cracovia Krakow arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Wieczysta Kraków, W 2-1 v Raków Częstochowa, D 0-0 @ Slask Wroclaw, L 0-2 v Pogon Szczecin.
Wieczysta Kraków are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Cracovia Krakow, W 4-3 @ Piast Gliwice, L 1-2 v Lech Poznan, L 1-2 @ Radomiak Radom.
The market prices CRA at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Wieczysta Kraków: a 11.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
