Lech Poznan v Cracovia Krakow

Lech Poznan meet Cracovia Krakow in the Ekstraklasa regular season - 1 at Enea Poznań, Poznan. The model makes Lech Poznan the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% LEC, 29% draw, 24% CRA.

Lech Poznan rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1443. Recent form leans Lech Poznan, 73% against 45%. Attacking output favors Lech Poznan on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Lech Poznan at 66%; double chance reads Lech Poznan or draw 76%, Cracovia Krakow or draw 53%.

Lech Poznan arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 14 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Cracovia Krakow, W 4-1 @ Aarhus, W 3-1 v Gornik Zabrze, W 4-0 v Bohemians 1905.

Cracovia Krakow are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Lech Poznan, W 1-0 v Sevilla, W 2-0 v Pardubice, W 3-1 v Başakşehir.

Lech Poznan hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lech Poznan 0-0 Cracovia Krakow.

The market prices LEC at 60% implied. Our number sits apart on Cracovia Krakow: a 6.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.