Rennes v Auxerre: the model read
Rennes meet Auxerre in the Ligue 1 regular season - 6 at Roazhon Park, Rennes. The model makes Auxerre the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 34% REN, 30% draw, 36% AUX.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1492, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 50%. Attacking output favors Rennes on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Auxerre at 52%; double chance reads Rennes or draw 64%, Auxerre or draw 66%.
Rennes arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Guingamp, L 1-2 v Caen, L 1-3 @ Marseille, W 2-1 v Paris FC.
Auxerre are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Orleans, W 5-2 v St Maur Lusitanos, W 2-0 @ Lille, W 2-1 v Nice.
Rennes hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Auxerre 0-3 Rennes.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
