Rodez v PAU: the model read
Rodez meet PAU in the Ligue 2 regular season - 4 at Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez.
Rodez rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1458. Recent form leans Rodez, 74% against 42%. Attacking output favors Rodez on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.1 per match.
Rodez arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 12 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v PAU, W 5-2 @ Nantes, L 0-2 @ Annecy, W 3-1 v Laval.
PAU are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Rodez, L 0-1 v Nancy, W 1-0 @ Dijon, L 0-1 v Annecy.
Rodez hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rodez 2-2 PAU.
The market prices ROD at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
