Where the market is wrong on Utrecht v PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht meet PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie regular season - 4 at Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht.
PSV Eindhoven rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1500. Recent form leans PSV Eindhoven, 68% against 48%. Attacking output favors PSV Eindhoven on expected goals, 3.0 to 1.6 per match.
Utrecht arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 6 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 1-6 v PSV Eindhoven, D 3-3 @ Sparta Rotterdam, L 1-4 v AZ Alkmaar, L 1-2 @ Groningen.
PSV Eindhoven are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 15 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 @ Utrecht, W 5-1 v Groningen, W 2-1 @ Excelsior, D 2-2 v Fortuna Sittard.
PSV Eindhoven hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Utrecht 1-6 PSV Eindhoven.
The market prices UTR at 18% implied. Our number sits apart on Utrecht: a 8.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
