Cambuur v Excelsior: the model read
Cambuur meet Excelsior in the Eredivisie regular season - 1 at Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden. The model makes Cambuur the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% CAM, 29% draw, 35% EXC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cambuur, 65% against 53%. Attacking output favors Cambuur on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans Cambuur at 51%; double chance reads Cambuur or draw 65%, Excelsior or draw 63%.
Cambuur arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Roda, L 2-3 @ Excelsior, W 2-1 v Vitesse, L 1-3 @ De Graafschap.
Excelsior are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ NAC Breda, W 2-0 @ Dordrecht, W 3-2 v Cambuur, W 3-2 @ Sparta Rotterdam.
Cambuur hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 4 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Excelsior 3-2 Cambuur.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
